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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.00+3.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.02+2.52vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.67+0.31vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.06+2.21vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.34+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.85-1.23vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.51-3.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.61-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Tufts University1.000.1%1st Place
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4.52Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University1.670.2%1st Place
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6.21University of New Hampshire0.060.0%1st Place
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5.78Boston University0.340.0%1st Place
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4.77University of Rhode Island0.850.1%1st Place
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3.64Brown University1.510.2%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University1.610.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Broadus | 9.6% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% |
| Niall Sheridan | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 7.9% |
| Philip Lengyel | 21.1% | 18.7% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Emily Zaleski | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 38.6% |
| Renato Korzinek | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 26.4% |
| Iain Jaeger | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 11.8% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 18.1% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 21.7% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.