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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.36+3.78vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.73+4.63vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23-0.06vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+1.87vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.73+4.61vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.31-0.86vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.90-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.08+3.41vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.26+2.19vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.00-4.19vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.52+2.14vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.31-4.13vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-5.74vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09+0.51vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.56-1.77vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.19-3.61vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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2.94University of Rhode Island3.230.3%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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9.61Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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5.14Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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5.81Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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13.14Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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7.87Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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14.51Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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13.23University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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12.39Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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15.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 27.1% | 23.3% | 17.5% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Styron | 10.7% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| John Van Zanten | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Augspurger | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 10.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 22.9% | 27.8% |
| Anne Berg | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 11.6% |
| Cameron Frary | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.