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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+5.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.83+3.38vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.02+4.96vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.68+2.05vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.24-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.63+0.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77-1.33vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.73-2.26vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.59+3.89vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.14-2.46vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+3.53vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.39-2.04vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.43-3.01vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.37+0.60vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.98vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28-1.53vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.96-8.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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5.38Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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6.05Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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6.23University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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5.67Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.74Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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12.89Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.54Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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14.53Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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9.96University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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9.99University of Vermont0.430.0%1st Place
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14.6Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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13.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
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14.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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8.23Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Derry | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 18.3% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 6.8% |
| Helen Horangic | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 24.0% | 27.4% |
| James Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Hayes | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| William Procter | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 21.0% | 29.4% |
| Daniel Faivre | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 9.7% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 19.3% | 19.8% | 25.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.