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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+5.49vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+2.26vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+2.49vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.63+2.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+0.49vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.73-0.08vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.59+5.71vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College0.96+0.04vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.68-2.92vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.43-0.12vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-1.37+3.54vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.14-4.36vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.02-4.87vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.63vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.99vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28-1.55vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.39-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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5.49Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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5.49Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.92Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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12.71Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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8.04Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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6.08Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont0.430.0%1st Place
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14.54Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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7.64Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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14.63Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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13.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
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14.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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10.07University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Derry | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 17.0% | 17.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 6.8% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hayes | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| William Procter | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 24.5% | 28.2% |
| Helen Horangic | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 24.2% | 28.7% |
| Daniel Faivre | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 10.1% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 25.0% |
| James Sullivan | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.