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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.83+4.37vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.63+3.03vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.68+2.00vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.96+3.05vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.14+1.75vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77-1.37vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.02-0.21vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.73-3.07vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-3.49vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+1.84vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.43-2.26vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.37+1.27vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.59-1.33vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.39-5.01vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-0.04vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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6.0Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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8.05Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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5.63Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.93Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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12.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont0.430.0%1st Place
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14.27Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.67Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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9.99University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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15.96Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
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14.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 12.3% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 18.1% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Helen Horangic | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Faivre | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 20.3% | 13.7% | 4.6% |
| Michael Hayes | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| William Procter | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 29.2% | 15.3% |
| Colby Green | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 11.5% | 3.6% |
| James Sullivan | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 60.0% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 23.0% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.