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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.68+4.72vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College0.96+6.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+2.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.63+2.11vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.14+2.39vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.83-0.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02+1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.24-3.73vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-2.19vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.43-0.26vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.73-5.13vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.39-2.14vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28+1.15vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.37+0.38vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.59-2.48vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-3.07vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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8.11Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.54Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont0.430.0%1st Place
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5.87Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.86University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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14.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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14.38Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.52Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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12.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
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15.98Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Horangic | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 17.7% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hayes | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 22.3% | 24.3% | 15.3% |
| William Procter | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 29.9% | 16.5% |
| Colby Green | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 19.2% | 11.2% | 3.2% |
| Daniel Faivre | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 15.5% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 4.9% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.