← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.24+3.23vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.83+3.40vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.77+2.59vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.63+2.09vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.68+0.73vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College0.96+2.31vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.02+0.96vs Predicted
-
8Bates College-0.59+4.41vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+4.04vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28+4.17vs Predicted
-
11Brown University1.14-3.32vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-5.40vs Predicted
-
13Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40+2.85vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-1.37+0.37vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire0.39-5.05vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont0.43-6.13vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University1.73-11.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
-
5.4Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
-
5.59Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
-
6.09University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
-
5.73Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
-
8.31Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
-
7.96Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
12.41Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
-
13.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
-
14.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
-
7.68Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
-
6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
-
15.85Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
-
14.37Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
-
9.95University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
-
9.87University of Vermont0.430.0%1st Place
-
5.77Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 18.0% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 3.6% |
| Daniel Faivre | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 14.5% | 5.6% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 22.2% | 24.2% | 12.7% |
| Helen Horangic | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 60.9% |
| William Procter | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 28.9% | 16.8% |
| James Sullivan | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Michael Hayes | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.