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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.83+4.34vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.59+10.47vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+2.57vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.43+5.81vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.14+2.42vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.96+2.31vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.73-1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.24-3.74vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.68-2.98vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40+5.90vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+1.86vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-4.02vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.63-6.87vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.37+0.39vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-8.37vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28-1.82vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.39-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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12.47Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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5.57Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont0.430.0%1st Place
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7.42Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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8.31Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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5.73Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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6.02Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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15.9Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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14.39Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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14.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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10.02University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 3.6% |
| Jack Flores | 10.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hayes | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Helen Horangic | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 18.9% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 17.9% | 59.6% |
| Daniel Faivre | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 4.7% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Procter | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 20.2% | 27.5% | 17.0% |
| Jack Derry | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 21.3% | 23.3% | 14.4% |
| James Sullivan | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.