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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.83+4.36vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+4.54vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.14+4.59vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.73+1.79vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+0.47vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.68-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.24-2.71vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.63-2.05vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.43+0.94vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.96-1.90vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.02-2.96vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.37+2.34vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.59-0.33vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28+0.20vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.39-5.15vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-3.09vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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7.59Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.79Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.47Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.97Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont0.430.0%1st Place
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8.1Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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14.34Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.67Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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14.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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9.85University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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12.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
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15.98Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 12.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Horangic | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.0% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 15.6% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hayes | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Procter | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 21.0% | 27.5% | 16.5% |
| Colby Green | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 4.1% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 28.6% | 13.7% |
| James Sullivan | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Faivre | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 4.8% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.