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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.63+4.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24+1.31vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.68+2.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+2.79vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+0.78vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.96+1.24vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.73-2.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.14-1.30vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.83-4.58vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.59+1.61vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.43-2.25vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.37+1.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.09vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28-0.91vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.39-5.97vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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5.49Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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6.01Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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8.24Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.7Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.42Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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12.61Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Vermont0.430.0%1st Place
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14.27Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
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14.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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10.03University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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16.0Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Gary | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 17.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Helen Horangic | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 18.5% | 12.1% | 3.8% |
| Michael Hayes | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| William Procter | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 28.0% | 16.0% |
| Daniel Faivre | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 3.3% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 21.4% | 23.2% | 15.4% |
| James Sullivan | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.