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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+3.19vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+3.53vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.68+2.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.83+1.52vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.43+4.63vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.73-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.63-1.00vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.02-0.21vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.96-0.64vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.14-2.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-4.21vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.59+0.61vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.37+1.29vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69-1.08vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.39-5.04vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.28-1.83vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.40-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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5.53Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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5.87Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.52Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Vermont0.430.0%1st Place
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5.9Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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8.36Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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7.46Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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12.61Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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14.29Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.690.0%1st Place
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9.96University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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14.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.280.0%1st Place
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16.0Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 18.0% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hayes | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Helen Horangic | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 3.2% |
| William Procter | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 27.1% | 16.8% |
| Daniel Faivre | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 4.2% |
| James Sullivan | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Meghan Berg | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 19.1% | 26.1% | 13.3% |
| Ryan Cloherty | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.