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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.80+6.80vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.74+9.90vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.42+2.73vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.82+4.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+1.69vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.57+3.03vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12-0.25vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15-1.46vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.02vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-0.94vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.97vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.94-4.53vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-2.19vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.40-4.28vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.82-7.12vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.52-0.67vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.98-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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11.9Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.69Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.03Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.06Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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10.81University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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7.88Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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15.33Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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11.27Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 19.7% | 9.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| John Ped | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 5.8% |
| Talia Toland | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 60.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.