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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University1.69+3.29vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+1.63vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.64+1.54vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45+0.88vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.19+2.37vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.12-0.36vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95-1.27vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.17-2.80vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.10-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Florida State University1.6912.6%1st Place
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3.63College of Charleston2.3818.9%1st Place
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4.54University of Miami1.6412.2%1st Place
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4.88University of South Florida1.4510.5%1st Place
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7.37The Citadel0.193.1%1st Place
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5.64North Carolina State University1.127.1%1st Place
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5.73Rollins College0.957.1%1st Place
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5.2Eckerd College1.178.8%1st Place
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3.7Jacksonville University2.1019.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Peter Foley | 12.6% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
Benjamin Dufour | 18.9% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Steven Hardee | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
Zachariah Schemel | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 5.3% |
Kenneth Buck | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 50.3% |
Benjamin Usher | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 12.3% |
Milo Miller | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 13.6% |
Jordan Vieira | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 7.8% |
Owen Bannasch | 19.7% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.