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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+7.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+3.62vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+5.87vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+4.08vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+2.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.11vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.74+4.98vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15-1.46vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.94-1.35vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-3.30vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-4.06vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-0.89vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-3.26vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.17vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.82-7.05vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.52-0.71vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.49-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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5.62Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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11.98Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.54Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.65Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.11Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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7.95Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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15.29Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| William Michels | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| John Ped | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 4.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 10.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 6.8% |
| Talia Toland | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 3.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 5.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 59.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.