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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+7.44vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.42+3.57vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.80+4.86vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+2.71vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+1.54vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.74+6.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+2.44vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.11+2.26vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.94-1.53vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-1.05vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-2.04vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.82-4.17vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.82-5.15vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.15-7.32vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-4.01vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.52-0.80vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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5.57Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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6.71Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.01Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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8.96Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.83Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.99Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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15.2Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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12.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Jack Egan | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 10.5% |
| Talia Toland | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 4.6% |
| Alden Grimes | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Grant Gridley | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| William Michels | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 6.8% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 56.6% |
| Alex Abate | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.