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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+5.42vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+5.70vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+5.72vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.82+3.87vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+0.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+2.77vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12-0.36vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40+1.23vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+3.35vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-2.24vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.49-1.78vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.74-0.21vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-2.36vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.12-7.22vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.94-7.66vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.52-0.81vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.98-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.7Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.72Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.48Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.64Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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12.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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7.76University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.78Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.34Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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15.19Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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11.1Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| William Michels | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 13.3% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Alex Abate | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 13.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 10.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 4.7% |
| Jack Egan | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alden Grimes | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 56.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.