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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.42+4.45vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.82+5.69vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.94+4.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+2.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+1.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+3.61vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15-0.45vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.98+2.77vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-0.97vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.51vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-2.09vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+0.12vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-2.32vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.74-2.04vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.49-5.91vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.82-8.12vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.36Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.5Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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6.55Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.77Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.91Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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12.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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11.96Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.09Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.88Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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15.16Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Alden Grimes | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 5.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Alex Abate | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 12.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 9.5% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.