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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+7.17vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+4.24vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.94+4.11vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+4.51vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+1.30vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80+0.59vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.82-0.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40+0.27vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-4.62vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.49-2.12vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-1.33vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.74-1.37vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.66vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.58vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.07vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.70-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.24Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.11Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.3Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.65Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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5.38Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.88Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.67Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.63Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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14.93Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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14.56Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 6.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| John Ped | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Ella Beauregard | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 21.5% | 44.3% |
| Andrew Powers | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 24.1% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.