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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.29vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.94+4.94vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+3.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+4.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80+1.72vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.11+3.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-2.65vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57-0.35vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.82-2.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.59vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.40-3.71vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.98-3.20vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.74-3.51vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.07vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.70-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.94Bowdoin College2.940.1%1st Place
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6.44Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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5.35Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.65Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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10.8Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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11.49Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.93Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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14.53Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 14.5% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| William Michels | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| John Ped | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Talia Toland | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 6.8% |
| Ella Beauregard | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 21.1% | 44.5% |
| Andrew Powers | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 24.3% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.