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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+4.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+5.83vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+4.99vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.62+2.77vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+1.28vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+0.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-0.78vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.45-0.22vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.01-3.65vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-2.24vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.07-1.94vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-1.66vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.74-2.52vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-7.32vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-2.25vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.21Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.35Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.06Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.34Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.48Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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13.75Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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13.42University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Jack DeNatale | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 11.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Zachary York | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 18.0% | 32.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 18.5% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.