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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.37vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.62+5.98vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+3.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.04+2.48vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+3.91vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.07+4.42vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+0.21vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.30vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.45-0.06vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.65-2.23vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.34vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.38-3.02vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.11+0.61vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.74-2.33vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-6.30vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.36-6.86vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.02-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.48Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.42Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.77Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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13.61University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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11.67Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.14Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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13.89Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 30.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 10.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Zachary York | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.