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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.24vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+5.04vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.45+5.72vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.62+4.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.04+1.26vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+2.10vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38+0.81vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.75-1.32vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+0.06vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.11+1.43vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.65-5.00vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.45-5.15vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.74-3.61vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-8.15vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.72-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.72Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.26Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.72Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.68Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.06Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.24Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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13.43University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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8.0Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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11.39Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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14.52Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 19.0% | 28.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 8.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Mott Blair | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 17.2% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.