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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+5.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+4.17vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+5.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.04+1.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.60vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.62+1.03vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+0.51vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.11+4.59vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.75-2.57vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.65-2.92vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.74-0.61vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.45-4.14vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-3.64vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-6.01vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.47vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.38-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.25Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.03Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.51Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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7.43Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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11.39Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.36Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.99Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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14.53Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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9.06Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 28.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 10.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Micky Munns | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Mott Blair | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 17.8% | 42.7% |
| Mathieu Dale | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.