Race 8B

sherman-hoyt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Parker Colantuono 5.8% 5.9% 6.2% 5.7% 6.4% 6.5% 5.6% 5.0% 6.5% 6.3% 7.1% 7.6% 6.0% 8.1% 5.9% 4.1% 1.3%
Jack Murphy 11.3% 9.0% 9.6% 9.5% 8.8% 8.0% 8.1% 6.8% 6.5% 5.7% 5.2% 3.7% 3.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Micky Munns 4.2% 3.5% 4.5% 5.2% 3.8% 5.8% 5.3% 5.7% 5.6% 4.4% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 9.2% 10.2% 7.7% 4.5%
Henry Burnes 8.5% 9.4% 7.3% 6.8% 9.2% 7.3% 7.1% 6.5% 7.6% 7.2% 5.6% 4.9% 4.7% 2.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Jack DeNatale 10.8% 10.7% 9.3% 8.5% 8.7% 8.9% 7.1% 7.3% 6.9% 4.3% 4.7% 2.9% 4.5% 2.3% 1.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Ryan Hamilton 1.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.7% 2.1% 1.5% 3.3% 3.3% 4.3% 5.0% 4.7% 7.5% 11.0% 21.4% 26.2%
CJ Mckenna 5.8% 5.9% 5.1% 5.8% 5.4% 5.4% 7.2% 7.4% 7.8% 7.0% 6.8% 8.1% 6.5% 5.8% 5.3% 3.8% 0.9%
Carmen Cowles 8.7% 7.6% 9.7% 9.2% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 7.5% 6.8% 6.7% 6.1% 5.5% 4.7% 5.4% 2.2% 2.2% 0.2%
Oliver Hurwitz 4.4% 4.9% 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 5.9% 8.3% 6.0% 7.1% 7.4% 5.8% 6.2% 7.8% 6.9% 5.4% 4.8% 1.0%
Sam Bruce 6.6% 7.3% 8.6% 6.8% 8.0% 8.9% 6.7% 6.2% 6.7% 5.7% 6.7% 6.3% 5.4% 4.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.9%
Trevor Davis 7.2% 6.4% 6.5% 5.4% 7.4% 6.9% 7.3% 7.2% 4.4% 8.0% 6.1% 7.2% 6.3% 6.0% 4.4% 2.8% 0.5%
Mathieu Dale 4.9% 5.4% 6.6% 6.6% 6.3% 5.0% 4.7% 7.0% 6.2% 6.0% 6.8% 8.1% 7.0% 6.4% 6.9% 3.9% 2.2%
Christopher Lukens 7.0% 7.6% 5.5% 6.4% 7.2% 7.4% 7.6% 7.6% 5.8% 7.6% 6.5% 6.2% 5.8% 3.7% 4.1% 3.3% 0.7%
Colman Schofield 6.8% 8.1% 7.9% 7.5% 7.6% 7.3% 6.3% 6.7% 6.0% 7.8% 7.2% 6.2% 5.7% 4.3% 2.6% 1.8% 0.2%
Caleb Niles 2.7% 3.8% 3.0% 4.0% 3.0% 3.6% 4.1% 4.5% 5.2% 5.3% 6.8% 6.3% 6.8% 9.4% 11.3% 11.4% 8.8%
Mott Blair 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.7% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5% 4.2% 4.8% 6.4% 8.7% 16.7% 42.3%
Nils Tullberg 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 4.7% 3.8% 3.3% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.7% 4.9% 4.8% 8.8% 9.5% 12.3% 11.1% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.