← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+4.49vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.03+4.07vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.62+1.65vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+0.40vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.68-0.66vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.84vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.16-1.36vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.54-3.27vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.18-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
-
6.07University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
-
4.65Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
-
4.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
-
4.34George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
-
4.16U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
-
5.64Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
-
4.73Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
-
5.53Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiran James Golden | 9.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 14.4% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 22.8% |
| Edward Cook | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| Will Murray | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Matt Logue | 14.8% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 16.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% |
| Clayton Snyder | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 16.2% |
| Lilly Myers | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.