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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.68+3.48vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+3.63vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.62+1.61vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.18+1.42vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.91vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.16-0.44vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-2.47vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54-3.23vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.03-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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4.61Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.42Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.09U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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5.56Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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4.77Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Logue | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% |
| Keiran James Golden | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 16.4% |
| Edward Cook | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 15.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 17.6% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 15.8% |
| Will Murray | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Lilly Myers | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.