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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.03+4.90vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.16+3.83vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+1.50vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+1.34vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.62-0.55vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18-0.50vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-2.46vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.80vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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5.83Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.5George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.34St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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4.45Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.5Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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4.75Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Sharpless | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 20.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 18.6% |
| Matt Logue | 13.8% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% |
| Keiran James Golden | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 14.6% |
| Edward Cook | 14.5% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.1% |
| Will Murray | 13.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 16.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Lilly Myers | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.