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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+4.59vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+3.66vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+1.50vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.62+0.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.90vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-1.54vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.16-1.37vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54-3.28vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.03-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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4.5George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.48Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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4.1U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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4.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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5.63Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.72Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 16.3% |
| Keiran James Golden | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 16.6% |
| Matt Logue | 13.3% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Edward Cook | 13.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 17.1% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Will Murray | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 16.5% |
| Lilly Myers | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.