← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.23+3.73vs Predicted
-
2California State University Channel Islands2.77+4.13vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.26+5.18vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+2.04vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles2.63+1.63vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Davis0.64+8.19vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.46+0.51vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California2.64-1.49vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley1.40+1.33vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University1.02+1.82vs Predicted
-
12California State University Monterey Bay1.64-1.58vs Predicted
-
13University of Southern California2.57-6.01vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-0.34+3.23vs Predicted
-
15Western Washington University1.62-4.59vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles1.50-5.12vs Predicted
-
17University of Oregon-0.09-0.73vs Predicted
-
18Santa Clara University2.20-9.93vs Predicted
-
19California Poly Maritime Academy0.11-3.18vs Predicted
-
20California State University Monterey Bay0.71-6.17vs Predicted
-
22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.73Stanford University3.230.2%1st Place
-
6.13California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.18Stanford University2.260.1%1st Place
-
6.04California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
-
6.63University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
-
14.19University of California at Davis0.640.0%1st Place
-
7.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.1%1st Place
-
6.51University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
11.33University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
-
12.82Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
-
10.42California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
-
6.99University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
-
17.23University of California at Davis-0.340.0%1st Place
-
10.41Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
-
10.88University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
-
16.27University of Oregon-0.090.0%1st Place
-
8.07Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
-
15.82California Poly Maritime Academy0.110.0%1st Place
-
13.83California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
-
16.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly McKinney | 16.1% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tally Buckstaff | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 9.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Thome | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Cameron Walsh | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Waldron | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Zachary Haney | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mallory Schluter | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 21.6% | 33.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Edwards | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Paulling | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 21.2% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Garcia | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 16.3% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Macy Stout | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.