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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.62+3.58vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.16+3.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.24vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.18+1.43vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.03-0.14vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-1.53vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54-3.24vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.68-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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5.78Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.24U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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5.43Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Pennsylvania2.030.1%1st Place
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5.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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4.76Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.44George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 18.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 15.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.3% |
| Will Murray | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 20.0% |
| Keiran James Golden | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% |
| Lilly Myers | 12.2% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 7.4% |
| Matt Logue | 14.1% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.