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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.16+4.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.60vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+2.69vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.54+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83-0.77vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.78-1.65vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18-1.21vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-3.31vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.69St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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4.85Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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4.35George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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5.79Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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4.95Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Snyder | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 19.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% |
| Keiran James Golden | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 18.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 16.8% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| Anthony Minder | 14.8% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
| Will Murray | 12.4% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% |
| Lilly Myers | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.