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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.39vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.78+2.61vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.78vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.54+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.83-0.78vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-0.41vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54-2.05vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.18-2.26vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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4.61George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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4.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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4.89Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
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5.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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4.95Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.74Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.84Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 14.3% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Anthony Minder | 10.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Will Murray | 12.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 16.9% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% |
| Keiran James Golden | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| Lilly Myers | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 20.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.