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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+3.80vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.40vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78+0.30vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+0.47vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.54-1.09vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.54-2.03vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.60vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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4.3George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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5.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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4.91Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.97Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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5.82Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Murray | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 20.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 14.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Anthony Minder | 14.4% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% |
| Keiran James Golden | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.6% |
| Lilly Myers | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.7% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.