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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.78+3.40vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.83+2.51vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.54+2.03vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+0.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.72vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18-0.31vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-1.33vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54-3.04vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.16-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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5.03Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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4.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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4.28U. S. Naval Academy2.800.2%1st Place
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5.69Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
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4.96Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.8Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Minder | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.8% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 11.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% |
| Will Murray | 12.0% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 16.1% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 16.7% |
| Keiran James Golden | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 17.3% |
| Lilly Myers | 11.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 9.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.