← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.83+3.33vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University2.16+4.01vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.54+2.03vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.78+0.31vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.54-0.19vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-0.43vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.18-1.20vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.59vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.33University of Pennsylvania2.830.2%1st Place
-
6.01Fordham University2.160.1%1st Place
-
5.03Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
4.31George Washington University2.780.1%1st Place
-
4.81Cornell University2.540.1%1st Place
-
5.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.1%1st Place
-
5.8Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
-
4.41U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
4.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 15.8% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Clayton Snyder | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 20.9% |
| Diego Escobar | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 10.0% |
| Anthony Minder | 13.5% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Lilly Myers | 12.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% |
| Keiran James Golden | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 16.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 19.3% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Will Murray | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.