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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+5.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles2.63+4.63vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.26vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.46+1.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.50+4.08vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.23-3.14vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.26-1.18vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.64-3.49vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.62-0.48vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University2.20-3.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.34+4.12vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.09+2.62vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay1.64-4.58vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.40-4.66vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.02-4.26vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.71-5.22vs Predicted
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20California Poly Maritime Academy0.11-4.14vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-5.10vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis0.64-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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6.26California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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5.96California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.1%1st Place
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11.08University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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4.86Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University2.260.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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10.52Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.31Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
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17.12University of California at Davis-0.340.0%1st Place
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16.62University of Oregon-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.42California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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11.34University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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12.74Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.78California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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15.86California Poly Maritime Academy0.110.0%1st Place
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15.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
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14.19University of California at Davis0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallory Schluter | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Molly McKinney | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tally Buckstaff | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 33.8% |
| Marissa Paulling | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 22.8% |
| Zachary Haney | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Waldron | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Nevin Garcia | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.5% |
| Macy Stout | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 14.6% |
| Elizabeth Thome | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.