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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.02vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.73+3.23vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.56+2.40vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+0.63vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.00vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.11-1.87vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-2.26vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.28-2.06vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.23George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.4Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.63Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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4.13University of Pennsylvania2.110.2%1st Place
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4.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 16.6% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 10.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 18.1% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Amanda Majernik | 15.6% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Ella Withington | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 19.7% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.