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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.03vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.73+3.22vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+1.80vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.11+0.10vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.56+0.23vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-1.29vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.94vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.28-2.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.22George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.8Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Pennsylvania2.110.2%1st Place
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5.23Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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4.06St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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5.93Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 9.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 5.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 16.0% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Victroia Flatley | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.0% |
| Ella Withington | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 15.4% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 19.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.