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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+3.73vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.39vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20+1.05vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+0.68vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.73-0.13vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.56-0.67vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.78-1.08vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.28-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.39University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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4.05Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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4.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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4.87George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.33Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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5.96Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 5.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 16.5% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Ella Withington | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| Victroia Flatley | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 15.7% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 38.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.