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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.03vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+2.96vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+3.01vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+0.64vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.00vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.73-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.11-2.83vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.56-2.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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4.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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6.01Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.64Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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4.96George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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5.34Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 16.7% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Ella Withington | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 18.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 18.4% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% |
| Amanda Majernik | 14.3% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Victroia Flatley | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.