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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+3.72vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+2.22vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.11+1.21vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85+0.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.78+1.76vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-0.10vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.93vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.56-2.59vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.73-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.22Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Pennsylvania2.110.2%1st Place
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4.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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5.9Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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5.41Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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5.03George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 12.9% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Amanda Majernik | 15.9% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Ella Withington | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.6% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 38.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 16.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Victroia Flatley | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 12.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.