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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+3.73vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.37vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.56+2.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.78+2.81vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-0.37vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-0.09vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.20-2.97vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.73-2.98vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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5.39Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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4.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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5.91Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.03Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.02George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 12.5% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 11.3% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 37.3% |
| Ella Withington | 13.0% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 18.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 8.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 16.6% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.