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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+3.77vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.56+3.51vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.20+1.05vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.73+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.90vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-0.06vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-2.28vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.93vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.51Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.05Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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4.91George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Pennsylvania2.110.2%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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4.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| Victroia Flatley | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 12.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 16.1% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Amanda Majernik | 16.6% | 17.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 18.8% |
| Ella Withington | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 16.5% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.