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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.02vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.37vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.56+2.41vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.73+0.94vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86-0.41vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.28-0.09vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-2.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.78-1.09vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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5.41Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.94George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.59Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.91Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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4.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 17.2% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Amanda Majernik | 12.1% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 11.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% |
| Riley Kloc | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| Ella Withington | 11.6% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 16.3% | 39.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 17.0% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.