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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+3.77vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.56+3.55vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.11+1.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.01vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-0.40vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.73-1.08vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.78-0.01vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.20-3.95vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.28-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.55Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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3.99St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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4.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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4.92George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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4.05Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.9Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% |
| Victroia Flatley | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 15.0% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 16.3% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Ella Withington | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 6.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 19.2% | 38.4% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 15.9% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 18.2% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.