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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.41+2.10vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.13+0.18vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.49-0.08vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.01-0.51vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-1.53+0.57vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-0.68-1.44vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.23-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Penn State Behrend0.4118.4%1st Place
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2.18Penn State University1.1338.2%1st Place
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2.92Rochester Institute of Technology0.4920.2%1st Place
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3.49Syracuse University0.0114.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Rochester-1.532.5%1st Place
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4.56Colgate University-0.685.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Pittsburgh-2.231.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 18.4% | 18.8% | 22.5% | 20.6% | 14.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 38.2% | 27.8% | 18.1% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cole Bender | 20.2% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 14.0% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 9.0% | 1.6% |
| Carlos Lopez | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 15.4% | 36.9% | 29.2% |
| Jack Pearlson | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 27.6% | 24.3% | 7.8% |
| Michael Grychowski | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 20.8% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.