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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.73+4.02vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.35vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.56+2.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.78+2.82vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.99vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-1.33vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28-0.97vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86-3.29vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.20-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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5.4Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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4.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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4.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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6.03Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.71Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.0Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 11.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.2% |
| Amanda Majernik | 11.7% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Victroia Flatley | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 11.8% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 36.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 18.3% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Ella Withington | 12.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 20.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 5.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 16.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.