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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.12vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.73+3.19vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86+1.78vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.28+1.83vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.11-1.89vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-2.26vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.56-2.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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5.19George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.78Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.83Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.94Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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4.11University of Pennsylvania2.110.2%1st Place
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4.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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5.37Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy0.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Bashaw | 16.1% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 5.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 18.7% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 19.0% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Amanda Majernik | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Ella Withington | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 5.5% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.