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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.41vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.73+2.05vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.56+1.28vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-0.36vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.96vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.20-2.97vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.28-2.07vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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5.05George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.28Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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4.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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4.03Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.93Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kloc | 11.4% | 14.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 5.6% |
| Amanda Majernik | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 9.9% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 7.9% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.0% |
| Ella Withington | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 16.8% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 16.2% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 18.5% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.