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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.20+3.01vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.73+3.20vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.56+2.41vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11-0.90vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.85-1.33vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.28-1.02vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.78-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Cornell University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.2George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.41Fordham University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Pennsylvania2.110.2%1st Place
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4.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.850.1%1st Place
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5.98Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.2%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Shachoy | 17.3% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 9.4% |
| Victroia Flatley | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 11.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 17.0% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Ella Withington | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 18.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 15.7% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 18.3% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.